Saturday, January 28, 2017

Saying No to Investment Opportunities

Portrait of Warren Buffett


"It is more important to say "no" to an opportunity, than say "yes."

Warren Buffett

While investing, especially during evaluation stocks a value investor will confront with a number of opportunities seemingly attractive and often tempting. Warren Buffett is advocating a bias towards rejection – saying no, rather than saying yes.

This rule is similar to the rule for discarding junk at homes and offices during the process of cleaning. We will come across a number of items where our minds tell us to keep the items for potential future use. If we follow the advice, we will accumulate unwanted junk. The rule to junk is simple and harsh – if in doubt - discard! The rule is advocating a positive bias for junking.

As with the rule for discarding, Warren Buffet is advocating a positive bias towards rejecting – saying “no” to an opportunity than saying “yes”. The logic behind this advice is far better to err on the side of caution than otherwise.
Picture Conceptualises Bias Towards Saying No to Opportunities
Picture Conceptualises Bias Towards Saying No to Opportunities

Thursday, January 26, 2017

Hindsight Versus Foresight


Automobile Rearview Mirror Picture Conceptualising Hindsight
Automobile Rearview Mirror Picture Conceptualising Hindsight

"In the business world, the rearview mirror is always clearer than the windshield"
Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett wants to say through the crisp sentence that in business hindsight is far clearer than foresight - it is far better to draw conclusions based on past data rather than divining the future.

These golden words do apply to investing, nay, life itself. Don’t you think so?

Value investors burn midnight oil analyzing annual reports of the companies, going back into the past as deeply as possible, but not less than 10 to 15 years, to draw meaningful conclusions about the business model, management philosophy, integrity and so on.

On the contrary the so-called experts, the filler material of print and television media do not hesitate to make predictions about future prospects of companies at the drop of the hat. Such predictions not only prove to be fallacies but dangerous for innocent investors.

Related Posts:

Warren Buffett's Portrait Depicting Inspirational Quotes
Warren Buffett's Portrait Depicting Inspirational Quotes