Noida
Toll Bridge Company is very good company but ill conceived by its parents. It
had attracted my attention an year back but I had to reject it because it has
only one project under the belt. It is a project specific, special purpose
vehicle company, with no scope for expansion. Therefore the fate of the company
as well as the investors is forever tied-up with that single project.
Its
fate is sealed as the concession to collect toll is limited to recovery of the
investment and a fixed, pre-specified return, with a variable length concession
period.
Recently, the
Allahabad High Court has ordered the company to stop collecting the toll on the
grounds that the investment and the specified return is already recovered by
the company. After the order the market price of the share has been hammered.
Graph shows the steep fall in the share price of Noida Toll Bridge Company Share |
The company has gone on appeal
to the supreme court.
If the company had been
conceived to plan, design and execute similar projects worldwide and if the
company could indeed follow such a course, it would have been a wonderful
investment bet. Alas, it is not to be so.
In the end, the prospects of the
company are finished.
Please do not be lured by the
steep fall in the price. There may be a special opportunity in its liquidation
but such bets are for experts who specialise in such special situations and not
for others - not even I.