When we purchases shares
in a company, it is important to seriously consider the question, "What are the Factors to be Considered Before Investing in a Company?", as such an introspection will surely be useful to buy stocks and results in the best share buy.
Step 1: Knowledge
First and foremost is to learn
investing. Without sound investing knowledge people may face unnecessary
pitfalls and may get disheartened early in their investing careers. Warren
Buffett says “Risk comes from not knowing what we are doing”. Therefore, please
read the book “Intelligent
Investor - The Investors' Bible” by Benjamin Graham. You may also
learn investing for FREE at my
blog, Value Investing.
Step 2: identification and Shortlisting of companies for detailed scrutiny
Using a stock filter, “Kotak
Securities” which appear as follows:
Using two parameters ‘market cap’,
which shall be between 1000-99999 crores and ‘PE Ratio’ between 1 and 10,
filter all the stock. It should yield about 20-30 stocks for further study.
Step 3: Analyze the company’s past performance as far as once can go but bare minimum of five years and recommended at least 10 years, under various heads as follows:
Profitability Ratios:
These include margins or profits under the various ‘Gross
Profit’, ‘Earnings Before Depreciation, Interest, Tax and Appropriations
(EBDITA)’, ‘Earnings Before Tax (EBT)’, ‘Profit Before Tax (PBT)’ and ‘Profit
After Tax (PAT)’. All these various ratios evaluate the profitability of the
operations of the company or organization.
EBT, which reflects the operating
profits before tax, is the most important profitability ratio. All the
companies I have listed in the educational ‘Portfolio Y2K15’ have had healthy
EBT of 25 to 50% when they were selected for investment.
Liquidity Ratios:
Liquidity ratios assess the ability of the organization to
meet its short term liabilities, maturing within one year, like trades payable
or sundry creditors, outstanding expenses, etc. out of current assets like
inventory, customer receivables, cash and bank balances. Even though the
operations may be profitable, unless the organization ploughs back adequate
amount of profits into current assets, the organization will become sick.
‘Current’ and ‘Quick’ ratios are usually used.
Selected companies must have a
current ratio of not less than 2 and quick ratio not less than 1.
Solvency Ratios:
Solvency ratios measure the ability of the corporation to
meet the long-term commitments. This is measured by comparing the long-term
debts with the net worth (equity capital and reserves). One to one is considered
adequate, more the better and lower than one shows weakness.
We should prefer companies that have
no debt or very low debt. Such companies will have very low interest burdens
and will be able to weather worst economic better than others.
Efficiency
Ratios:
These evaluate how efficiently various assets are turned
around in the business. Inventory and receivables ratios measure how many these
are rotated during the year and obtained by dividing annual sales turnover by
amount of inventory and receivables.
Similarly, ‘Fixed Assets Turnover
Ratio’ is obtained by dividing sales by value of fixed assets. More the
turnover number better is the efficiency.
Cash
flows: The cash flow statement describes how cash is generated and
how it is used, judging the judiciousness of cash, the most valuable resource.
The company should clearly demonstrate that it has been
generating healthy and positive operating cash flows in the last 10 to 15
years.
Dividend Track Record:
Dividends are the wages of investors. A company shall
certainly qualify under this parameter and should have had an un-interrupted
dividend paying record as far as possible but of at least of 15 years.
The company should not be stingy in distributing dividends.
Private companies are generally miserly, only distributing about 12-15% of the
net profits as dividends, whereas government/ public sectors companies in India
are bound by an internal directive to distribute a minimum 30% of the net
profits as dividends.
The dividend yield shall also be reasonable and shall be at
least around 4-5%.
Step 4: Ranking the qualifying companies
The companies that have passed the stringent qualification
tests as described above are ranked under two parameters company performance and market
condition. The parameters under each of these two broad categories are as
follows:
Sl.
No.
|
Company
Performance
|
Market
Condition
|
1
|
EBT
%
|
PE
Ratio
|
2
|
CAGR
in EPS
|
Price
to Book Value Ratio
|
3
|
CAGR
in Book Value Per Share
|
Dividend
Yield
|
4
|
Percentage
of net profits distributed as dividend
|
Distance
from 52 Week Low (shorter the distance better it is)
|
5
|
Number
of times recurring non-operating income covers the average dividend pay out.
|
Returns
measured by increase in stock price. This return is preferred to be negative
and as high a negative return as possible.
|
Thanks for sharing valuable information.
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Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd
Avadh Sugar and Energy Ltd
Stocks