Monday, May 30, 2016

Amazing value investing advantages over day trading or mutual funds

Ordinary investing activities can never compare with the amazing value investing advantages.  Many a successful value investor will vouchsafe for this.

The benefits of value investing, over day trading and investing in mutual funds, are of two categories, viz. tangible financial results and subtle indirect benefits.

Direct and tangible investment advantages:
  • High degree of investment protection;
  • Regular and superior dividend income;
  • Good capital appreciation;
  • Saving high fund management fees collected by mutual funds;
  • Attaining financial freedom;
  • Assured, long term wealth creation;
  •  

Subtle, incidental benefits:
  • Conquering the negative emotions of greed and fear;
  • Developing the virtue of patience;
  • Peace of mind;
  • Better health;


How does value investing bestow these advantages? The answer is simple; it is based on a long and thorough research before making crucial investment decisions.  The research includes studying the companies, their balance sheets, understanding their business models, analyzing various financial ratios, assessing the integrity of the managements, etc.  It relies mainly on the intrinsic value of the underlying assets – shares, bonds and other financial instruments.  It ignores short-term fluctuations in prices.

On the other hand, conventional investment methods lay heavy emphasis on price movements.  While the day traders seek to make a profit out of price movements during the trading hours of the day, mutual fund’s performance is gauged by returns, which means the change in the net asset value (NAV) of the fund, over a certain period of time, based on market prices. 

Mutual fund managers, who are supposed to be financial experts; on whom millions of lay investors repose their trust and entrust their life’s savings, themselves are under severe pressure to improve the returns, and therefore are often forced to churn the portfolios frequently, leading to making inappropriate buy and sell decisions.  All this results in higher costs and inferior long-term wealth creation for investors.  Thus they end up doing disservice to the investors.

Day trading in stocks is pure gambling; it cannot be called investing at all.  It is fraught with grave risks.  Day traders place bets based on anticipated price movements of stock and commodities on the exchanges.  Since the expected gains are small, in order to magnify the gains, brokerages encourage them to increase the size of the bet (total value of the transaction), by demanding just a small deposit, usually 5 to 20%, called the margin. This is a double-edged sword, magnifying both the gains as well as losses by as much as five to 20 times.  Small, lay investors invariably suffer losses.

Constant monitoring of prices by day-traders and reading performance reports by mutual fund investors increase anxiety levels and leads to health problems.  However, having made investments after solid research, value investors can simply forget their investments for months and years.  They can relax in the comforting safety of their method that has stood the test of time.

In the end, wonderful value investing advantages like of safety of capital and superior returns are not offered by any other method of investing.


Tuesday, May 24, 2016

Yes, value investors are retrograde - for a good reason too!

Speculators are always crystal gazing the future; it seems they are always forward-looking.  On the other hand, value investors always look back into the past. As far into the past as possible. And so can we call them retrograde?  I say yes, with pride. A value investor is retrograde literally, and for a good reason too!

When investing being retrograde is better than crystal-gaze the future

Every day I read in financial newspapers that the Indian share market is reasonably priced.  They say that presently the market is trading only at 15 times the two year forward earnings. They add that this is in contrast to the long-term average of 16 times, which is the norm.

Two years forward earnings?  Who can predict what profits may a company may earn two years hence? What greater foolishness could there be than buying a share at 15 times the earnings expected two years hence? while value investors are taught not to buy shares at not more than ten times the past earnings?

Further, when we say past earnings, we don't simply mean the earnings of the previous year. We mean the average earnings in the five preceding years.  We take this extra precaution to avoid buying a share by mistake.  Because a company may have a bumper year owing to sheer luck. Whereas the five-year average past earnings criterion will eliminate that risk.

When you make investment decisions based on future earnings, you are ignoring the time-tested concept of buying the share at or below its intrinsic value and paying a fair price.
While the media is howling the market is cheap, I am scouring the market every day, with utter disappointment, to make the new find of a reasonably priced share!

Conclusion

We value investors do not mind the world labelling us retrograde.  Looking back into the past is the essential ingredient of our craft. For, when investing it is far more beneficial to be retrograde than crystal-gazing the future.